Mortgage lending hits five year high
Latest Bank of England figures show that mortgage lending recorded its strongest quarterly jump in five years in the third quarter of 2025, with gross advances rising 36.9% to £80.4 billion. The increase marks the sharpest quarterly gain since 2020 amid a renewed surge in the UK property market.
The data showed that the outstanding value of all residential mortgage loans increased by 0.9% from the previous quarter to £1,733.7 billion, and was 2.9% higher than a year earlier.
The value of new mortgage commitments increased by 1.6% from the previous quarter to £79.4 billion, the highest since 2022 Q3, and was 20.3% higher than a year earlier.
The share of gross mortgage advances with loan-to-value (LTV) ratios exceeding 90% increased by 0.3 percentage points (pp) from the previous quarter to 7.4%, the highest share since 2008 Q2, and was 0.8pp higher than a year earlier.
The proportion of lending to borrowers with a high loan-to-income (LTI) ratio increased by 3.3pp from the previous quarter to 44.7%, the largest increase since 2020 Q3, but remained 0.6pp lower than a year earlier.
The value of outstanding mortgage balances with arrears decreased by 2.9% from the previous quarter to £20.6 billion, and was 5.8% lower than a year earlier.
The proportion of the total mortgage loan balances with arrears, relative to all outstanding mortgage balances, has stayed the same as the previous quarter at 1.2%, and was 0.1pp lower than a year earlier.
Economic growth forecast slashed for 2025
The EY ITEM Club Winter Forecast is predicting that UK GDP growth will be at 1% in 2025, down from the 1.5% growth projected in October’s forecast. This represents only a marginal improvement on the 0.8% GDP growth the UK economy likely achieved in 2024.
Consumer finance new business fell by 1% in November 2024
New figures released by the Finance & Leasing Association (FLA) show that consumer finance new business fell in November 2024 by 1% compared with the same month in 2023. In the eleven months to November 2024, new business in this market was 1% higher than in the same period in 2023.
Eight in ten mortgage brokers optimistic amid economic challenges
New research reveals that there is healthy optimism among brokers about the future of the UK mortgage sector, despite a challenging economic backdrop, including stamp duty rises expected in April and falling rent prices causing worries for buy-to-let buyers.
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